Bali villa occupancy in 2026: what the numbers say.
Owners hear that Bali is full and that Bali is empty in the same week. Both can be true. It depends on the zone, the month and how far ahead you look. This page keeps the figures we track, with dates, so you can check them.
Short answer. It depends on the zone, the month and the operator. Across the 357 villas priced by our revenue desk, occupancy over the past 90 days was 92%, against 58% for the PriceLabs market set of the same zones (audit of 17 September 2026). Official foreign arrivals grew about 1% year on year in early 2026, after 6.95 million in 2025 (Statistics Indonesia, BPS).
Official arrivals
Statistics Indonesia (BPS) reported 6.33 million foreign arrivals to Bali in 2024 and 6.95 million in 2025. Growth slowed to about 1% year on year in the first quarter of 2026. In June 2026 the official pace was about 20,167 foreign visitors a day.
Our portfolio curve
Across the villas synced to our revenue desk, monthly occupancy rose from about 70% in April 2026 to 87% in July 2026.
Occupancy already on the books for later months naturally falls away: 64% for August at the time of reading, single digits for December. In Bali this reflects a short booking window, not a fall in demand. Reading booking pace without lead time is the most common misreading we see.
Zones fill differently
Ubud books earliest and holds steadiest. Canggu fills late, often inside two weeks, with midweek demand from remote workers. Uluwatu peaks from May to September. Seminyak and Nusa Dua draw holiday and family demand at higher rates. Sanur leans towards families and longer stays.
Portfolio against market
In the audit of 17 September 2026, occupancy over the past 90 days across 357 villas was 92%. The PriceLabs market set for the same zones was at 58%.
The difference is pricing discipline and listing quality, not location: our villas sit in the same zones as the market set. Sample, period and method.
How we track demand ahead
We combine scheduled airline seats into Denpasar, official arrivals and anonymised booking pace for each area into a 90-day outlook. The public version is Hospara Signals, in early access.
Common questions
When is high season for Bali villas?
July and August, the Christmas and New Year week, and Easter. Smaller peaks come at Chinese New Year and during Australian school holidays. Uluwatu also peaks in the surf season, from May to September.
How far ahead do guests book Bali villas?
Not far. Ubud books earliest. Canggu often books inside two weeks. Low occupancy several months ahead is normal, and it is not a sign of weak demand.
Is Bali oversupplied with villas?
Supply has grown fast, especially in Canggu, Pererenan and the Bukit. In 2026, well-priced and well-run villas in our portfolio still ran far above the market set. Poorly priced villas sit empty alongside them.
Related
How does your villa compare with its zone?
Send us your listing links. We reply with a free pricing review, in writing. We do five a month.